St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2010 - 2011 - 2012
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State Rank #11
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Riley Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 10.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 55.5%
Advance to State Finals 99.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
4  Joey Zielinski 12 15:45
78  Connor Method 12 16:27
81  Josh O'Brien 12 16:28
165  Dylan Dominello 11 16:51
174  Jordan Holloman 12 16:53
Mike Mahon 12 18:02
Kevin Carney 12 18:06
Dan True 11 18:20
DateRace Rating
08/27 Purdue Invitational 266
09/17 New Prairie Invitational (AAA) 303
09/24 Culver Invitational (Open) 287
10/11 Riley Sectional 239
10/15 Elkhart Central Regional 288
10/22 New Haven Semi-State 217
10/29 State Finals 232




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.3% 9.8 275 0.0 0.6 1.6 3.4 4.4 6.2 7.3 8.9 10.4 12.8 13.2 13.0 8.3 5.0 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.7 108 18.1 30.1 27.5 14.6 6.6 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.9 45 25.3 63.3 11.3 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.7 34 26.1 73.9 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joey Zielinski 100.0% 9.3 0.1 8.1 7.1 6.4 6.1 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.5 4.2 4.7 3.9 4.0 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.1 97.0% 100.0%
Connor Method 99.3% 66.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0% 34.6%
Josh O'Brien 99.3% 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 32.8%
Dylan Dominello 99.3% 109.8 0.0% 0.6%
Jordan Holloman 99.3% 112.5 0.0% 0.3%
Mike Mahon 99.3% 185.9 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Carney 99.3% 187.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joey Zielinski 100% 1.2 45.0 29.0 12.1 6.2 3.2 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Connor Method 100% 18.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.6 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.9 4.8 4.5 5.2 4.6 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.2 3.4 98.8%
Josh O'Brien 100% 18.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.3 4.1 4.1 4.5 4.3 4.9 4.8 4.9 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.3 99.0%
Dylan Dominello 100% 42.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.1 52.3%
Jordan Holloman 100% 44.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 45.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joey Zielinski 100% 1.0 50.7 41.4 6.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Connor Method 100% 6.4 0.2 4.2 10.0 13.3 14.9 18.5 16.3 8.7 4.9 2.8 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Josh O'Brien 100% 6.5 0.2 3.5 9.4 13.3 13.9 18.2 16.4 9.1 5.8 3.8 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dylan Dominello 100% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 5.3 6.8 7.3 7.9 7.2 7.4 7.1 6.8 5.8 5.4 5.1 4.1 4.0 3.6 2.6 2.4 1.9 95.6%
Jordan Holloman 100% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 4.4 5.7 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.0 6.6 6.6 6.1 6.4 5.2 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.4 93.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joey Zielinski 1.0 51.5 44.4 3.1 0.7 0.3
Connor Method 5.3 0.3 11.5 15.5 16.4 24.3 22.2 7.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
Josh O'Brien 5.4 0.3 10.4 14.9 14.8 24.3 24.4 7.6 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dylan Dominello 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.0 15.8 20.8 17.7 11.9 9.6 7.1 4.4 3.2 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jordan Holloman 9.9 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 12.1 18.5 17.4 14.2 10.5 8.0 5.5 3.7 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0